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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation

219K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.1%

40%55%
Floor47.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.2%.

Measured over 219K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 219K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
219K
Best context
52.6% at 1600-1799 Classical
Worst context
41.5% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.8%
Draws
3.2%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 56.1% at 0-999, 43.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (463 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (249 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 66.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (2,427 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,592 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (327 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (6,079 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (6,518 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,283 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (9,919 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (17,970 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (3,859 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (159 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (13,259 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (33,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (7,984 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (505 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (13,281 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (39,571 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (10,150 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (543 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (8,760 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (23,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (6,231 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (5,044 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (4,709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (989 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 25.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (673 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (175 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Continuations (1)
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line
43.9%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation scores 48.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.9% and 48.2% — from 219K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
219K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate?

Playing the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 219K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 53.1% (795 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.2% in Blitz (127K games) against 48.2% in Rapid (31K games).

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 52.5%, draws 1.2% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 795 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.9%, draws 1.8% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.9%, draws 2.5% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 55K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.6%, draws 3.5% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 64K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 38K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.0%, draws 4.5% and loses 53.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.3%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 38.5%, draws 7.2% and loses 54.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.1%. It rests on 862 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.6%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 60K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 127K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 46.1%, draws 4.1% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 31K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 45.5%, draws 5.2% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.4% of its games and loses 50.3%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.