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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation

219K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.2%Based on 219K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%3.2%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Be7
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation
Analyzen=219K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.2%), based on 219K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (795 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (4,348 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (13,912 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (31,907 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (54,908 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (63,546 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.9% win rate (38,274 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.0% win rate (10,757 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (862 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (59,905 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (127,101 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (30,920 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (1,374 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (463 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (249 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 66.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (2,427 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,592 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (327 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (6,079 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (6,518 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,283 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (9,919 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (17,970 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (3,859 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (159 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (13,259 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (33,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (7,984 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (505 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (13,281 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (39,571 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (10,150 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (543 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (8,760 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (23,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (6,231 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (5,044 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (4,709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (989 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 25.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (673 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (175 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Continuations (1)
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line
43.9%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 219K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms Classical (49.3%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 795 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 862 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.6%) win rate for white (60K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white (127K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.5%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.