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Indian Defense: Normal Variation

2.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%Based on 2.2M games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%4.2%45.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.c4
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
Analyzen=2.2M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.5%), based on 2.2M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.7% win rate (27,193 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (72,522 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (161,832 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (314,464 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (494,553 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.0% win rate (556,049 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (381,991 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.4% win rate (177,119 games)
  • 2500+: 50.5% win rate (29,857 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.1% win rate (15,069 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (803,914 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (1,093,483 games)
  • Rapid: 49.3% win rate (289,496 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (13,618 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (10,304 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (13,075 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (3,720 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (228 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (26,356 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (36,188 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (9,603 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (147 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (971 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (54,959 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (83,612 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (21,610 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (4,101 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (101,596 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (159,904 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (46,255 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (2,608 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (5,851 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (153,776 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (253,834 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (76,385 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (4,707 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (3,071 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (177,945 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (287,242 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (83,549 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (4,242 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (677 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (150,326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (190,354 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (39,541 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (1,093 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (104 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (104,770 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (63,568 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (8,589 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (88 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (23,882 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (5,706 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (244 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (22 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Normal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Normal Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Normal Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (73K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.1%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation?

The Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 162K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 314K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 495K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 556K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 382K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 177K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.8%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate for white (804K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (289K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Normal Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.9%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Indian Defense: Normal Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Normal Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.