Slav Indian
2 variations · 566K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · Overall
47.2%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.3%.
Measured over 566K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the ranked list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 566K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- #46 of 62
- Games in this context
- 566K
- Best context
- 50.6% at 0-999 Bullet
- Worst context
- 41.9% at 2500+ Blitz
- Variations measured
- 2
- Average game length
- 36 moves
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
What to play from here
Black · OverallThese are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 46.8% at 0-999, 43.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (2,562 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (4,359 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (1,223 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (6,517 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (11,470 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (3,345 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (54 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.9% expected score (96 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (12,723 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (23,616 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (7,881 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (239 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (244 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (21,148 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (41,506 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (14,601 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (712 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (294 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (31,409 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (67,821 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (21,228 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (1,336 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (100 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (34,230 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (85,558 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (23,490 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (1,023 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (70 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (30,380 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (52,268 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (11,665 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (347 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (52 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (21,907 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (18,393 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (2,780 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (75 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (6,955 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (2,434 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.1% expected score (203 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
2 variations · ranked by floor
Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Slav Indian family scores 47.2% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.1% and 47.3% — from 566K Lichess games across 2 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 566K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Slav Indian win rate?
Across the Slav Indian's 2 variations, Black wins 44.9%, draws 4.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 566K rated games from Lichess.
How many Slav Indian variations are there?
2 Slav Indian variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.
At what rating does the Slav Indian perform best?
The Slav Indian family performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.4% (8.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Slav Indian better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Slav Indian scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.0% in Blitz (307K games) against 47.0% in Rapid (86K games).
How sharp is the Slav Indian?
Slav Indian games are 95.5% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 36 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Slav Indian a good opening family?
The Slav Indian family is hard work for Black — it favours White overall. Across its games, Black wins 44.9% and loses 50.6%. Results differ between its 2 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.