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Analyzer

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense

1.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense is balanced for Black at 50.0% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.0%Based on 1.6M gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.0%55%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.1%
Min adv-0.2%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=1.6M
Outcome Distribution
3...Ng4
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
Analyzen=1.6M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 50.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.1%), based on 1.6M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +0.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (9,810 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.2% win rate (26,693 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (72,689 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (183,037 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (370,048 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (497,200 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (322,458 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (115,090 games)
  • 2500+: 41.4% win rate (14,108 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Bullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.9% win rate (8,104 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (619,447 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (825,090 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (152,842 games)
  • Classical: 52.0% win rate (5,650 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (4,540 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (3,868 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (242 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (13,420 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (10,670 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (2,326 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (742 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (34,246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (31,900 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (5,673 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (128 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (2,274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (73,719 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (89,611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (16,903 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (530 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (3,239 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (123,276 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (202,875 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (38,716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (1,942 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (1,152 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (154,234 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (284,627 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (54,738 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (2,449 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.7% expected score (275 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (132,108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (160,332 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (29,230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (513 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (72,275 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (38,801 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (3,886 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (11,629 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (2,406 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (65 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Anti-Nimzo-Indian
50.6%
Continuations (8)
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Adler Variation
47.7%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation
52.4%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation
47.1%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation
52.8%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation
53.0%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense
48.0%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation
49.2%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Defense, Bonsdorf Variation
51.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.9%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 183K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 370K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 497K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 322K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.2%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white (619K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (825K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.7%) win rate for white (153K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.1%-43.3%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.