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Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation

71K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.2%Based on 71K games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.2%
Outcome Distribution
52.8%4.2%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.e4
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=71K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.6% and 55.2%), based on 71K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (176 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.5% win rate (559 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.3% win rate (1,647 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.7% win rate (4,303 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (11,130 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.4% win rate (20,908 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.7% win rate (21,649 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (9,317 games)
  • 2500+: 55.8% win rate (1,058 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in UltraBullet (28%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 28.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (16,713 games)
  • Blitz: 52.3% win rate (45,206 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (8,479 games)
  • Classical: 51.4% win rate (338 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (269 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (230 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (711 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (772 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (160 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (1,446 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (2,300 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (543 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (2,766 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (6,883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,388 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (89 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (3,947 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (14,013 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (2,796 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (4,148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (14,728 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (2,712 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (5,712 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (795 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (550 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (495 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 74.2% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Continuations (2)
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation
53.0%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense
48.0%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 71K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.7%) outperforms Classical (51.4%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 40.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 559 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.2%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 53.3%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.3%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.7%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.5%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-55.9%) win rate for white (338 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.