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Analyzer

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation leaves Black at 44.5% — pick a better weapon.

The minimum advantage of -12.0% means this line underperforms at the selected level.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score44.5%Based on 28K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%44.5%55%
Range (90% confident): 44.0% – 45.0%
Min adv-12.0%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=28K
Outcome Distribution
5...Nec6
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 44.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.0% and 45.0%), based on 28K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -7.2% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.9% win rate (27 games)
  • 1200-1399: 34.4% win rate (157 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.0% win rate (602 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.4% win rate (2,197 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (7,298 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.2% win rate (10,651 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.2% win rate (6,290 games)
  • 2500+: 39.3% win rate (872 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Rapid (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.3% win rate (6,673 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (18,669 games)
  • Rapid: 39.3% win rate (2,652 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (111 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 34.5% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 18.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (345 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 24.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (730 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,289 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (1,540 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (5,007 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (695 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (1,856 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (7,596 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (1,163 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (1,679 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (4,073 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (412 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (430 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 62.8% win rate for white (157 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.8%) outperforms Classical (49.3%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 62.8% (90% CI: 56.4%-69.0%) win rate for white, based on 157 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 602 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 872 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.8%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.8%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.8%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 41.6%-57.1%) win rate for white (111 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.2%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Abonyi Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.