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Analyzer

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense is balanced for Black at 50.1% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.1%Based on 12K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.1%55%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.9%
Min adv-1.4%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=12K
Outcome Distribution
4...d6
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 50.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 50.9%), based on 12K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +0.8% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.8% win rate (37 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.8% win rate (107 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (231 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (621 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (1,621 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (3,582 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (3,813 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.3% win rate (1,482 games)
  • 2500+: 43.1% win rate (53 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in Classical (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (2,428 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (7,389 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (1,679 games)
  • Classical: 30.7% win rate (49 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (114 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (220 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (307 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (415 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (962 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (235 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (676 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (2,375 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (509 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,565 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (621 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (330 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (982 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.9% expected score (168 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (22 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.8%) outperforms Blitz (47.2%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 36.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 107 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 0.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 45.4% (90% CI: 40.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 621 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.1%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.