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Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation

251K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.1%Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 55.3%Based on 251K games
0%55.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 55.3%
Outcome Distribution
52.4%5.4%42.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bf4
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=251K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 55.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 55.3%), based on 251K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.1% win rate (336 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.5% win rate (1,268 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (5,020 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.1% win rate (15,163 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (36,038 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (65,073 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.0% win rate (77,979 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.1% win rate (44,774 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (5,446 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (53%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (57,574 games)
  • Blitz: 52.7% win rate (164,629 games)
  • Rapid: 53.3% win rate (27,669 games)
  • Classical: 50.2% win rate (1,218 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (215 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (600 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (566 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,807 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,811 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (395 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (4,336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (8,795 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,971 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (8,678 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (21,630 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (5,426 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (12,256 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (44,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (8,228 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (570 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (13,954 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (55,371 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (8,425 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (227 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (12,449 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (29,227 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (3,050 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (3,279 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (2,112 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 251K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (45K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.3%) outperforms Classical (50.2%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 41.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 336 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 78K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (165K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.8%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-52.6%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Rubinstein Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.