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Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation

2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.9%

40%55%
Floor47.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 2.0M games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.0M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
2.0M
Best context
53.3% at 1400-1599 Classical
Worst context
36.8% at 2000-2199 UltraBullet
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
96.1%
Draws
3.9%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.2% at 0-999, 44.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (325 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (12,144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (16,367 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (4,374 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (34,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33,820 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (7,406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (2,441 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (80,689 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (69,174 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (13,881 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (427 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (5,983 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (154,747 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (119,248 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (20,235 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (809 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (9,191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (238,870 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (157,773 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (23,980 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (756 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (8,780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (285,263 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (130,475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (15,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (3,186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (236,744 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (61,274 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,551 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 33.5% expected score (385 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (209,555 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (22,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (817 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (53,445 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,926 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.1% expected score (296 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
50.5%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation scores 47.9% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.9% and 48.0% — from 2.0M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
2.0M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate?

Playing the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.9% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.4% (33K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.7% in Blitz (613K games) against 49.3% in Rapid (91K games).

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 47.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.6%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 77K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 167K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.1%, draws 3.2% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 301K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 431K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 440K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 306K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.8%, draws 4.9% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 233K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 40.0%, draws 7.2% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.6%. It rests on 56K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 42.8%, draws 2.5% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 31K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.3%, draws 4.8% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 613K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 46.6%, draws 5.4% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 91K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 47.9%, draws 6.8% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.9% of its games and loses 50.2%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.