TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation

2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.9%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.0%Based on 2.0M games
0%47.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%3.9%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...c5
Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation
Analyzen=2.0M
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 47.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.0%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (33,258 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (77,015 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (166,612 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (301,022 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (430,570 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (439,915 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (305,815 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (233,482 games)
  • 2500+: 40.0% win rate (55,691 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.8% win rate (31,295 games)
  • Bullet: 45.8% win rate (1,306,062 games)
  • Blitz: 46.3% win rate (612,760 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (90,610 games)
  • Classical: 47.9% win rate (2,653 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (325 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (12,144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (16,367 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (4,374 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (34,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33,820 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (7,406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (2,441 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (80,689 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (69,174 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (13,881 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (427 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (5,983 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (154,747 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (119,248 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (20,235 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (809 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (9,191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (238,870 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (157,773 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (23,980 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (756 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (8,780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (285,263 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (130,475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (15,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (3,186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (236,744 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (61,274 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,551 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 33.5% expected score (385 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (209,555 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (22,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (817 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (53,445 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,926 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.1% expected score (296 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
50.5%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (56K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.7%) outperforms Classical (45.2%) by 9.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 167K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 301K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 431K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 440K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 306K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 233K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.2%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (613K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white (91K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.8%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.