Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense

2.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
1...Nf6
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.4%

45%55%
Floor48.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 2.4M games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.4M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
2.4M
Best context
54.2% at 1200-1399 UltraBullet
Worst context
40.7% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
38 moves
Games that end decisively
95.6%
Draws
4.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.1% at 0-999, 44.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (13,700 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (26,420 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (8,711 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (68 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (854 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (30,027 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (38,893 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (11,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (273 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (4,380 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (63,969 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (64,519 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (16,005 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (616 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (14,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (121,033 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (100,321 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (20,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (1,029 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (31,539 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (196,451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (137,525 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (24,022 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (1,138 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (41,695 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (267,309 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (145,861 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (18,587 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (728 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.2% expected score (22,160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (288,639 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (107,482 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (8,774 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (232 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (7,095 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (338,770 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (57,210 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (2,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (148,272 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (5,672 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
50.5%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense scores 48.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.4% and 48.5% — from 2.4M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
2.4M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate?

Playing the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 2.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.8% (49K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.9% in Blitz (684K games) against 49.8% in Rapid (110K games).

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense?

The Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 47.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 49K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.3%, draws 3.2% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 81K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.5%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 149K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.6%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 257K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 391K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.1%, draws 4.2% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 474K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.0%, draws 4.7% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 427K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.6%, draws 5.3% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 406K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.3%, draws 6.6% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 154K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 46.5%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 122K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 1.5M Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.2%, draws 5.3% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 684K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 47.0%, draws 5.6% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 110K Lichess games.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 47.9%, draws 7.2% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 4.2K Lichess games.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.2% of its games and loses 49.4%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.