TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense

680K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 47.8%Based on 680K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 47.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%3.7%50.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c5
Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
Analyzen=680K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 47.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 47.8%), based on 680K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (6,111 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (17,528 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.8% win rate (44,011 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.7% win rate (96,987 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (158,746 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (175,184 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (110,937 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.9% win rate (60,959 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (9,806 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.6% win rate (3,884 games)
  • Bullet: 45.5% win rate (396,017 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (248,039 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (31,563 games)
  • Classical: 45.8% win rate (766 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 66.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,483 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,013 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (569 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (8,097 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (7,907 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,389 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (410 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (21,901 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (18,533 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (3,089 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (901 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (49,988 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (40,166 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (5,754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (79,663 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (68,478 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (9,335 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (266 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.5% expected score (847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (98,139 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (68,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (8,021 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (423 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (73,801 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (33,673 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (2,997 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (147 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (52,506 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (7,893 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (404 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (9,439 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (360 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation
50.2%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate?

The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 680K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (9.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.4%) outperforms Classical (46.4%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense?

The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 97K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 159K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 175K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 111K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.8%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (396K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white (248K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-49.4%) win rate for white (766 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.