Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
680K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.7%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.8%.
Measured over 680K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 680K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 680K
- Best context
- 50.6% at 1200-1399 Rapid
- Worst context
- 43.5% at 1800-1999 UltraBullet
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 47.9% at 0-999, 42.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 66.9% expected score (43 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,483 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,013 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (569 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (108 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (8,097 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (7,907 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,389 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (410 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (21,901 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (18,533 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (3,089 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (78 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (901 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (49,988 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (40,166 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (5,754 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (178 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (1,004 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (79,663 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (68,478 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (9,335 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (266 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.5% expected score (847 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (98,139 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (68,016 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (8,021 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (161 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (423 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (73,801 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (33,673 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (2,997 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (147 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (52,506 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (7,893 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (404 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (9,439 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (360 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense scores 47.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.6% and 47.8% — from 680K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 680K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate?
Playing the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 680K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense perform best?
The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 48.1% (159K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 48.4% in Blitz (248K games) against 49.7% in Rapid (32K games).
How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense?
The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 46.7%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.8%, draws 2.6% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 44K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.7%, draws 2.8% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 97K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 159K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 175K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.2%, draws 4.4% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 111K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.9%, draws 4.7% and loses 52.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.3%. It rests on 61K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 40.4%, draws 6.0% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.4%. It rests on 9.8K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 45.6%, draws 1.9% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 3.9K Lichess games.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.5%, draws 3.1% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 396K Lichess games.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 46.1%, draws 4.6% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 248K Lichess games.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 47.3%, draws 4.8% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 32K Lichess games.
What is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 45.8%, draws 7.8% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 766 Lichess games.
Is the Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense a good opening?
The Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.8% of its games and loses 50.5%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.