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Analyzer

Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation

2.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.8%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 46.9%Based on 2.8M games
0%46.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%4.1%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e6
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
Analyzen=2.8M
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 46.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 46.9%), based on 2.8M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (47,135 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (117,401 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.8% win rate (256,548 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.6% win rate (467,254 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.1% win rate (638,903 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.7% win rate (601,159 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (376,547 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (249,346 games)
  • 2500+: 39.1% win rate (57,467 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.5% win rate (66,088 games)
  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (1,765,606 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (859,538 games)
  • Rapid: 44.6% win rate (117,608 games)
  • Classical: 43.8% win rate (2,920 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (286 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (16,607 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (24,539 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (5,669 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (1,129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (49,636 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (55,949 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (10,506 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.5% expected score (4,813 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (120,425 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (111,878 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (18,942 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (490 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (11,184 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (235,880 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (192,064 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (27,167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (959 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (19,528 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (355,197 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (230,963 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (32,368 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (19,460 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (397,653 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (165,702 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (17,997 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (347 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (7,217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (302,785 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (62,019 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (4,471 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (2,446 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (230,903 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (15,511 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (479 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (56,520 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (913 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Reversed Modern Defense
50.5%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate?

The Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.8M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (57K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.9%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation?

The Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 117K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 257K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 467K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 639K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 601K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 377K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 249K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.3%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.7%) win rate for white (1.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.2%) win rate for white (860K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white (118K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.1%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.