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Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense

325K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 47.0% – 47.3%Based on 325K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.0% – 47.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.2%3.9%51.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...f5
Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense
Analyzen=325K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.0% and 47.3%), based on 325K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (10,508 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.5% win rate (13,635 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.3% win rate (21,619 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.3% win rate (37,641 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (60,358 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (72,317 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (57,035 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.5% win rate (41,510 games)
  • 2500+: 42.3% win rate (9,976 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.0% win rate (5,479 games)
  • Bullet: 45.3% win rate (187,109 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (113,574 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (17,746 games)
  • Classical: 43.2% win rate (691 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (2,612 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (5,604 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,181 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (177 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (4,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (6,762 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (2,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (9,091 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (9,659 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (2,355 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.8% expected score (132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.7% expected score (960 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (16,598 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (17,073 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (2,828 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (1,388 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (28,883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (26,238 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (3,696 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (1,481 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (41,875 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (25,699 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (3,176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (86 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (835 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (39,959 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (15,003 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (1,212 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (169 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (34,058 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (7,005 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (275 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (9,428 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (531 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Slav Formation
50.2%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Hungarian Opening: Symmetrical Variation
49.1%
Hungarian Opening: Sicilian Invitation
50.2%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate?

The Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 325K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.1%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense?

The Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-54.2%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.7%) win rate for white (187K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white (114K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-52.9%) win rate for white (691 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.