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Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation

8.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 54.6%Based on 8.3K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%6.5%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...c6
Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation
Analyzen=8.3K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 54.6%), based on 8.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1200-1399: 32.1% win rate (25 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (70 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (350 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (1,374 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (3,290 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.9% win rate (2,812 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (398 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (63%), worst in Rapid (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.3% win rate (2,136 games)
  • Blitz: 50.5% win rate (5,456 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (705 games)
  • Classical: 62.7% win rate (36 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (213 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (291 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (937 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (604 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (354 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (805 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (1,826 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (177 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (289 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.5%) outperforms Rapid (49.0%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 41.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 350 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 398 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.0%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.7%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-52.1%) win rate for white (705 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.5%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Szabo Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.