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Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation

3.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 52.8%Based on 3.5K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%7.5%44.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Na6
Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation
Analyzen=3.5K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.5%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 52.8%), based on 3.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 26% → 53%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 26.3% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.1% win rate (51 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (238 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.6% win rate (1,066 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (1,754 games)
  • 2500+: 52.5% win rate (409 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (50%), worst in Classical (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (711 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (2,632 games)
  • Rapid: 49.6% win rate (169 games)
  • Classical: 35.5% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 31.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (154 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (834 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,410 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.3% expected score (190 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (207 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (409 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Rapid (49.6%) by -0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a sharpness score of 92.5 (decisive), meaning 92.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 238 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 409 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 13.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-51.9%) win rate for white (711 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.8%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-55.8%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.8%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Prins Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.