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Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation

351 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score63.1%Range (90% confident): 58.8% – 67.2%Based on 351 games
0%63.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 58.8% – 67.2%
Outcome Distribution
61.7%2.7%35.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Ng5
Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation
Analyzen=351
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation has a 63.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 58.8% and 67.2%), based on 351 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 27%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • 1200-1399: 65.7% win rate (16 games)
  • 1400-1599: 70.1% win rate (32 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.7% win rate (57 games)
  • 1800-1999: 59.1% win rate (89 games)
  • 2000-2199: 61.6% win rate (87 games)
  • 2200-2499: 59.7% win rate (58 games)
  • 2500+: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (63%), worst in Classical (14%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 63.3% win rate (162 games)
  • Blitz: 62.6% win rate (159 games)
  • Rapid: 49.2% win rate (28 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 81.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 65.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 62.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 64.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 73.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation has a 61.7% (90% CI: 57.4%-65.9%) win rate for white, based on 351 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 61.6% win rate for white (87 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (63.3%) outperforms Blitz (62.6%) by 0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation has a 63.3% (90% CI: 57.0%-69.4%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation has a 62.6% (90% CI: 56.3%-68.8%) win rate for white (159 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Pachman Variation is statistically favors white with a 61.7% (90% CI: 57.4%-65.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.