TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.3%Based on 33K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.9%3.7%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.f3
Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.3%), based on 33K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (102 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.4% win rate (354 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (691 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (1,748 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (4,094 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.8% win rate (8,524 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (10,752 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (6,183 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (465 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (79%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 78.9% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 49.6% win rate (15,787 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (14,967 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (2,087 games)
  • Classical: 42.0% win rate (64 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (135 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (173 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (115 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (831 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (150 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,641 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (2,083 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (351 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (4,846 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (754 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,873 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (5,332 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (538 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (4,676 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,393 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (405 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (465 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.6%) outperforms Classical (42.0%) by 7.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 354 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 691 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 465 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.7%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lutikov Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.