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Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation

2.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 53.2%Based on 2.6K games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%6.4%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qa4+
Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation
Analyzen=2.6K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 51.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 53.2%), based on 2.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.3% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (24 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.3% win rate (46 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (68 games)
  • 1400-1599: 36.6% win rate (90 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.4% win rate (101 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (167 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (769 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (1,169 games)
  • 2500+: 47.5% win rate (208 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Rapid (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (651 games)
  • Blitz: 47.9% win rate (1,769 games)
  • Rapid: 42.3% win rate (217 games)
  • Classical: 53.8% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (79 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (587 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (269 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (848 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (138 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 26.5% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (769 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (42.3%) by 9.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 36.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 41.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 167 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 769 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 41.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 208 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 10.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.8%) win rate for white (651 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.8%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 36.9%-47.9%) win rate for white (217 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.