What is the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 51.8%), based on 2.2K Lichess games.
2.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 51.8%), based on 2.2K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~54%)
Best in Rapid (50%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K rated games from Lichess.
The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (244 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.9%) outperforms Rapid (49.8%) by -1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 43.7%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 44.5% (90% CI: 39.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 285 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 45.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 660 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 758 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 53.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 244 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-48.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.6%) win rate for white (961 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.
In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-57.3%) win rate for white (118 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.
The Grünfeld Defense: Flohr Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.