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French Defense: Wing Gambit

458K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.6%Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 55.7%Based on 458K games
0%55.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.7%3.7%42.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.b4
French Defense: Wing Gambit
Analyzen=458K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.4% and 55.7%), based on 458K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.5% win rate (437 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (1,834 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (6,137 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.6% win rate (18,186 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.5% win rate (44,735 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.9% win rate (113,675 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (144,107 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.7% win rate (111,971 games)
  • 2500+: 53.9% win rate (17,009 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.9% win rate (96 games)
  • Bullet: 56.2% win rate (181,273 games)
  • Blitz: 52.1% win rate (241,824 games)
  • Rapid: 51.7% win rate (33,233 games)
  • Classical: 49.2% win rate (1,665 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (207 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (186 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (868 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (770 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (193 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,627 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,799 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (686 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (6,789 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (9,314 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (13,670 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (25,913 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (4,914 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (32,955 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (69,121 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (10,749 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (817 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (50,176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (82,803 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10,643 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (59,659 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (48,278 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (3,991 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (14,322 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (47 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Wing Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 458K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Wing Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (114K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Wing Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.2%) outperforms Classical (49.2%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Wing Gambit?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 437 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 114K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 144K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.3%) win rate for white (181K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate for white (242K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the French Defense: Wing Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.