TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit

4.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 53.1%Based on 4.8K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%3.8%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit
n=4.8K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 53.1%), based on 4.8K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.4% win rate (235 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.2% win rate (240 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.1% win rate (250 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (376 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (583 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (989 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (1,302 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.0% win rate (782 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (84 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Rapid (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.6% win rate (1,273 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (2,807 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (713 games)
  • Classical: 49.5% win rate (48 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (137 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.0% expected score (85 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (104 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 69.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (86 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 37.6% expected score (188 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (334 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (238 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (623 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (333 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (882 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (85 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (336 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (407 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (27 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.9% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.6%) outperforms Rapid (47.1%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 37.4% (90% CI: 32.3%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 235 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 41.2% (90% CI: 36.0%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 240 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 250 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 376 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 583 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 989 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 782 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.8%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.0%-50.2%) win rate for white (713 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Riemer Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.