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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit

24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.7%Range (90% confident): 58.1% – 59.2%Based on 24K games
0%58.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 58.1% – 59.2%
Outcome Distribution
56.7%3.8%39.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.f3
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit
Analyzen=24K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 58.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 58.1% and 59.2%), based on 24K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +21.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.2% win rate (613 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (760 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.0% win rate (1,385 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.6% win rate (2,584 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.3% win rate (3,593 games)
  • 1800-1999: 60.1% win rate (4,903 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.7% win rate (5,764 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.4% win rate (3,181 games)
  • 2500+: 55.0% win rate (888 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (58%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • Bullet: 58.3% win rate (6,712 games)
  • Blitz: 56.4% win rate (12,878 games)
  • Rapid: 55.4% win rate (3,917 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (144 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (330 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (173 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (165 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (378 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (252 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (754 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (467 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (1,455 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (625 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.7% expected score (591 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (1,999 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (960 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.7% expected score (967 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (2,926 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (975 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (1,716 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (3,519 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (509 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (1,696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (752 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (135 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 60.3% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (58.3%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 40.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 613 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 760 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 54.8%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.0%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 59.0%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 60.1% (90% CI: 58.9%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.0%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 888 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 58.3% (90% CI: 57.3%-59.3%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.1%-56.7%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.7%-57.3%) win rate for white (144 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.