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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation

436 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score61.2%Range (90% confident): 57.4% – 65.0%Based on 436 games
0%61.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.4% – 65.0%
Outcome Distribution
59.1%4.2%36.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bd2
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation
Analyzen=436
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a 61.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.4% and 65.0%), based on 436 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 67%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (28 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.6% win rate (54 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.8% win rate (91 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.2% win rate (101 games)
  • 2200-2499: 63.5% win rate (130 games)
  • 2500+: 67.3% win rate (23 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (62%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 62.3% win rate (94 games)
  • Blitz: 60.6% win rate (285 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (55 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 68.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 70.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (72 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.4% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 55.2%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 436 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 63.5% win rate for white (130 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (60.6%) outperforms Rapid (45.1%) by 15.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 45.1%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a 63.5% (90% CI: 56.5%-70.3%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation has a 60.6% (90% CI: 55.8%-65.3%) win rate for white (285 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Kondratiyev Variation is statistically favors white with a 59.1% (90% CI: 55.2%-62.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.