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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation

376K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%Based on 376K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%5.3%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.exd5
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation
Analyzen=376K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.1%), based on 376K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (5,023 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.4% win rate (8,743 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.5% win rate (18,020 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (35,144 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (59,615 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (88,584 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (82,194 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (63,143 games)
  • 2500+: 52.5% win rate (15,312 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.2% win rate (603 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (119,667 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (205,242 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (47,977 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (2,289 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (948 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (2,757 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (1,996 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,573 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (2,116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (4,390 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (9,513 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (3,892 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (137 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (8,728 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (19,040 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (6,877 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (362 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (14,205 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (33,960 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (10,526 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (726 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (20,979 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (53,367 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (13,408 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (722 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (25,657 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (48,887 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (7,388 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (199 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (31,203 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (29,478 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (2,391 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (11,561 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (3,667 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 376K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.2%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 89K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 82K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 41.9%-48.6%) win rate for white (603 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate for white (120K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate for white (205K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.9%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Delayed Exchange Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.