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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.3%Range (90% confident): 57.8% – 58.8%Based on 26K games
0%58.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.8% – 58.8%
Outcome Distribution
55.6%5.4%39.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bxc3+
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 58.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.8% and 58.8%), based on 26K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.4 · Trap factor: +10.4 · n=26K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.4% win rate (85 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.0% win rate (327 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (721 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.4% win rate (1,287 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (2,471 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.8% win rate (5,349 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.2% win rate (7,806 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.9% win rate (6,698 games)
  • 2500+: 56.0% win rate (1,223 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 55.7% win rate (6,554 games)
  • Blitz: 55.7% win rate (15,966 games)
  • Rapid: 55.1% win rate (3,256 games)
  • Classical: 51.4% win rate (190 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (186 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (115 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (356 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (673 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (380 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (581 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (1,347 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (500 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (1,129 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (3,460 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (700 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (1,567 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (5,426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 62.5% expected score (780 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (1,988 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (4,142 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.5% expected score (546 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 75.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.8% expected score (893 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (318 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 55.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 57.9% win rate for white (6.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (55.7%) outperforms Classical (51.4%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 54.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 327 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.2%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 721 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.3%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.9%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 56.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.7%) win rate for white (6.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.4%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.5%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.5%-57.4%) win rate for white (190 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Alekhine Gambit Accepted is statistically favors white with a 55.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.