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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System

43K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 52.1%Based on 43K games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%6.0%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...a6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System
Analyzen=43K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 52.1%), based on 43K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.9% win rate (65 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.7% win rate (263 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (798 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.4% win rate (2,116 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (4,632 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (7,739 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (10,007 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.1% win rate (13,424 games)
  • 2500+: 49.4% win rate (3,672 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Bullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 47.6% win rate (7,644 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (29,896 games)
  • Rapid: 51.6% win rate (4,885 games)
  • Classical: 52.3% win rate (288 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 66.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (168 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (461 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (415 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,251 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (416 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (862 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (2,739 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (947 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (83 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (963 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (5,351 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (1,339 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (86 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (1,068 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (7,623 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,249 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (10,159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (670 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (2,151 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 43K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (4.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.6%) outperforms Bullet (47.6%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 263 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 798 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.5%) win rate for white (7.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.0%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.7%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-57.1%) win rate for white (288 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Modern System is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.