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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation

3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 50.5%Based on 3.4K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%5.9%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Nb6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation
Analyzen=3.4K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 49.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 50.5%), based on 3.4K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 42%

0
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.2% win rate (35 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (135 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (503 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.6% win rate (1,221 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (1,124 games)
  • 2500+: 42.1% win rate (408 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (48%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (1,119 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (2,133 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (169 games)
  • Classical: 39.1% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (155 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (853 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (283 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (820 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (288 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (118 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.7%) outperforms Rapid (47.8%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 43.2%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 135 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 503 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 41.2%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 38.1%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 408 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.2%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.0%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 41.5%-54.1%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Leningrad Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.