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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line

63K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 50.1%Based on 63K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.8%5.9%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=63K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 50.1%), based on 63K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (328 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (438 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.4% win rate (669 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.8% win rate (1,210 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (2,332 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (6,435 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (16,283 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (28,411 games)
  • 2500+: 49.4% win rate (7,271 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (51%), worst in UltraBullet (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 46.9% win rate (15,034 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (43,210 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (4,850 games)
  • Classical: 50.8% win rate (273 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (165 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (216 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (186 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (342 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (133 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (647 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (525 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (391 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (1,200 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (4,261 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (888 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (83 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (2,849 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (11,886 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,472 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (5,984 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (20,966 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,430 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (3,829 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (3,362 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (80 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 63K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.5%) outperforms Classical (50.8%) by -1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 328 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 438 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 669 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.9%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.6%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-55.8%) win rate for white (273 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.