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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line

138K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.7%Based on 138K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%5.0%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.cxd4
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=138K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 52.7%), based on 138K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.3% win rate (58 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.2% win rate (290 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.4% win rate (1,425 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.4% win rate (6,831 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (25,153 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (47,544 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (46,362 games)
  • 2500+: 50.4% win rate (10,618 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (48,387 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (80,705 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (8,716 games)
  • Classical: 50.2% win rate (478 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (186 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (745 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (590 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,506 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (3,818 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (443 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (6,611 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (16,381 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (1,960 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (200 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (12,119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (31,547 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (3,718 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (18,687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (25,276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (2,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (7,485 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,990 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (140 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 138K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 60.2% win rate for white (290 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.0%) outperforms Classical (50.2%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 60.2% (90% CI: 55.5%-64.9%) win rate for white, based on 290 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (81K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.9%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.4%-53.9%) win rate for white (478 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.3%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.