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French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation

458K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.7%Based on 458K games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.0%7.1%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Be3
French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation
Analyzen=458K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.1%

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 51.7%), based on 458K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.0% win rate (116 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.9% win rate (646 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (2,948 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (11,003 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (37,102 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (92,017 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (127,690 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (132,997 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (53,334 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.6% win rate (43 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (157,239 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (260,431 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (37,777 games)
  • Classical: 45.7% win rate (2,363 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (404 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (1,594 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,130 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (216 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (4,668 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (5,357 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (902 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.1% expected score (68 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (12,123 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (21,569 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (3,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (22,773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (58,896 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (9,631 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (711 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (34,688 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (78,744 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (13,640 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (605 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (47,023 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (78,046 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (7,724 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (196 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (33,905 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (16,469 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (2,491 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (468 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 458K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.8% win rate for white (133K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.2%) outperforms Classical (45.7%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation?

The French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a sharpness score of 92.9 (decisive), meaning 92.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 43.0% (90% CI: 35.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 43.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 646 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 128K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 133K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 48 moves with a 22.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white (157K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white (260K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.2%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

What is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.4%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.0%.

Is the French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Steinitz Variation, Boleslavsky Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.