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French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack

127K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.4%Based on 127K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%3.5%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c4
French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack
Analyzen=127K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.4%), based on 127K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (1,850 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.1% win rate (6,686 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (17,557 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (28,603 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.4% win rate (33,164 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (23,982 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (10,509 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (3,306 games)
  • 2500+: 41.3% win rate (1,057 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (62%), worst in Bullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 61.8% win rate (43 games)
  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (26,247 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (72,810 games)
  • Rapid: 52.7% win rate (26,692 games)
  • Classical: 56.6% win rate (922 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (680 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (990 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (175 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,852 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (4,058 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (762 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (4,301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (10,728 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (2,451 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (5,140 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (17,381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (5,754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (4,901 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (18,868 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (9,050 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (4,689 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (13,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (6,115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (2,667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (5,666 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (243 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (733 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (312 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 127K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack perform best?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.4% win rate for white (33K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (56.6%) outperforms Bullet (49.3%) by 7.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 41.3% (90% CI: 38.9%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 10.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.8%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.9%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack has a 56.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-59.3%) win rate for white (922 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack a good opening?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, Three Pawn Attack is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.