What is the French Defense: Queen's Knight expected score for White?
At all ratings, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 50.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.4%), based on 6.4M Lichess games.
6.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 50.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.4%), based on 6.4M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 48% → 53%
Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (46%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.4M rated games from Lichess.
The French Defense: Queen's Knight performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (56K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (46.3%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The French Defense: Queen's Knight has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 296K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 455K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 736K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 822K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 403K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.6%) win rate for white (99K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.
In Bullet games, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.7%) win rate for white (3.4M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Rapid games, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.1%) win rate for white (611K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Classical games, the French Defense: Queen's Knight has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.8%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The French Defense: Queen's Knight is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.