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French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation

3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.8%Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 58.2%Based on 3.4K games
0%56.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 58.2%
Outcome Distribution
54.8%3.9%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.e5
French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation
Analyzen=3.4K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 56.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.4% and 58.2%), based on 3.4K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 74% → 68%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 74.3% win rate (49 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.7% win rate (160 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.0% win rate (288 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.1% win rate (442 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.5% win rate (452 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (629 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (768 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (531 games)
  • 2500+: 67.6% win rate (88 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (59%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 55.6% win rate (937 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (1,864 games)
  • Rapid: 59.3% win rate (573 games)
  • Classical: 44.7% win rate (22 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 86.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 65.6% expected score (162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (85 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (225 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (136 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (230 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 66.3% expected score (106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (413 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (292 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 68.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation perform best?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 67.6% win rate for white (88 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (59.3%) outperforms Blitz (53.2%) by 6.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 63.0% (90% CI: 58.3%-67.6%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 60.1% (90% CI: 56.2%-63.9%) win rate for white, based on 442 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 51.6%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 452 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 629 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 768 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 531 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 52.9%-58.2%) win rate for white (937 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.1%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation has a 59.3% (90% CI: 55.9%-62.6%) win rate for white (573 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.