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French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit

9.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 54.0%Based on 9.4K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%6.3%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit
n=9.4K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.3%

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 54.0%), based on 9.4K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.7% win rate (33 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (83 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.6% win rate (162 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.0% win rate (246 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (338 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (957 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.4% win rate (2,692 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (4,155 games)
  • 2500+: 52.3% win rate (780 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in Blitz (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (2,831 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (5,911 games)
  • Rapid: 52.6% win rate (663 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (41 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 65.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (134 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.5% expected score (73 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (159 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (672 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (658 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (1,885 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (144 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (1,317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (2,632 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (200 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (499 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (277 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (246 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.6%) outperforms Blitz (49.3%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 162 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 246 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 41.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 338 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 957 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 780 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.4%) win rate for white (5.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-55.8%) win rate for white (663 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit is statistically favors white with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.