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French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation

7.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.0%Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 56.9%Based on 7.5K games
0%56.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 56.9%
Outcome Distribution
53.7%4.6%41.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation
n=7.5K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 56.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 56.9%), based on 7.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~56%)

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1400-1599: 36.8% win rate (27 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.0% win rate (185 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (699 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (2,237 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.7% win rate (3,406 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (894 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (56%), worst in Classical (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 55.0% win rate (2,494 games)
  • Blitz: 52.8% win rate (4,625 games)
  • Rapid: 55.9% win rate (325 games)
  • Classical: 35.5% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (65 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (453 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (427 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,675 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (127 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (1,141 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (2,103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (615 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (267 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation perform best?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.7% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.0%) outperforms Rapid (55.9%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 185 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 699 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.3%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 52.8%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 894 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.7%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.0%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-60.4%) win rate for white (325 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.