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French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 56.6%Based on 1.2K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 56.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%9.2%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation
n=1.2K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate9.2%

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 56.6%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 51%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (17 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (115 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (413 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (568 games)
  • 2500+: 50.6% win rate (43 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (52%), worst in Classical (27%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (294 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (811 games)
  • Rapid: 52.4% win rate (51 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (90 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (67 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (368 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation perform best?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (568 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms Rapid (52.4%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a sharpness score of 90.8 (decisive), meaning 90.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 43.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 413 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 10.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 568 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-57.0%) win rate for white (294 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (811 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.9%.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.