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French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit

422K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.2%Based on 422K games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%3.9%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bb2
French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit
Analyzen=422K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 53.2%), based on 422K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (2,114 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (6,451 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.2% win rate (16,107 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (36,566 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (68,801 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (99,975 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.2% win rate (103,644 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.4% win rate (73,108 games)
  • 2500+: 54.5% win rate (15,405 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (656 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (177,481 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (205,631 games)
  • Rapid: 50.0% win rate (36,472 games)
  • Classical: 49.0% win rate (1,931 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (997 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (334 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (2,897 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,791 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (739 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (7,743 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (6,908 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (1,354 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (15,633 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (17,303 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (3,307 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (25,143 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (35,293 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (7,657 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (510 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.2% expected score (128 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (33,210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (54,565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (11,310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (762 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (39,691 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (54,465 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (9,040 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (422 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (40,154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (30,238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (2,630 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (12,232 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (3,071 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (101 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 422K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 100K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-56.0%) win rate for white (656 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (177K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (206K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.5%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.8%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.