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Analyzer

French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation

2.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 54.3%Based on 2.2K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 54.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%4.3%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation
n=2.2K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 54.3%), based on 2.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.0 · Trap factor: +14.4 · n=2.2K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (396 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.6% win rate (331 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (298 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (286 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (304 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (262 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (217 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (96 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (16 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (54%), worst in Bullet (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (506 games)
  • Blitz: 50.1% win rate (1,057 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (610 games)
  • Classical: 53.6% win rate (33 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (133 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (153 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (130 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (85 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 40.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (331 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.6%) outperforms Bullet (46.8%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation?

The French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 396 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 331 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 298 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 286 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 304 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 262 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 40.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 217 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-50.4%) win rate for white (506 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.6%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.9%) win rate for white (610 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Guimard Variation, Thunderbunny Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.