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French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation

541K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.3%Based on 541K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
47.0%4.3%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bg5
French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation
Analyzen=541K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 49.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.3%), based on 541K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.4% win rate (9,407 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (29,435 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (69,648 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (124,637 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.6% win rate (150,480 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (107,075 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (35,934 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (11,877 games)
  • 2500+: 53.4% win rate (2,209 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (47%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (318 games)
  • Bullet: 46.0% win rate (148,069 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (300,077 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (89,202 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (3,036 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (3,332 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (4,567 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,496 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (10,679 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (14,367 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (4,326 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (21,775 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (37,323 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (10,300 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (211 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (33,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (70,649 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (20,179 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (695 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (32,971 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (89,304 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (26,917 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (25,390 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (60,720 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (20,164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (748 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (12,669 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (17,917 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (5,193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (129 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (6,540 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (4,696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (621 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (1,669 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.7% expected score (534 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 541K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.4% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.0%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation?

The French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 150K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 39.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (318 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.3%) win rate for white (148K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (300K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.6%) win rate for white (89K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.1%-46.0%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Exchange Variation, Svenonius Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.