TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 52.0%Based on 13K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%4.2%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bd3
French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 52.0%), based on 13K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 15% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 15.2% win rate (15 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.9% win rate (92 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (402 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (1,178 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (2,638 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (4,325 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (2,895 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.3% win rate (1,001 games)
  • 2500+: 58.0% win rate (127 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (73%), worst in Blitz (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 73.3% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (3,006 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (7,400 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (2,149 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (112 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (114 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (235 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (252 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (741 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (489 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (1,636 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (467 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (725 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (2,725 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (828 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (724 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,689 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (468 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (543 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (315 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (142 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (1.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (50.7%) by -0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 402 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 58.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-65.0%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.9%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.5%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-58.3%) win rate for white (112 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Tarrasch Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.