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French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation

8.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 54.9% – 56.6%Based on 8.5K games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.9% – 56.6%
Outcome Distribution
52.9%5.6%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Qd2
French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=8.5K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.9% and 56.6%), based on 8.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.1% win rate (34 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (134 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.6% win rate (399 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (966 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (1,935 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (2,476 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.4% win rate (2,230 games)
  • 2500+: 49.5% win rate (319 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (59%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (2,199 games)
  • Blitz: 52.9% win rate (5,538 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (729 games)
  • Classical: 58.7% win rate (30 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (75 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (219 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (637 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (341 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,347 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (231 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (622 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,647 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (201 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (525 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (1,562 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (140 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (189 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 56.4% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.9%) outperforms Rapid (52.5%) by 0.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 134 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 399 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 966 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 54.7%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 319 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.7%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.0%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-55.5%) win rate for white (729 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.