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French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line

99K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.4%Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 57.7%Based on 99K games
0%57.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 57.7%
Outcome Distribution
54.8%5.2%40.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...O-O
French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=99K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 57.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.1% and 57.7%), based on 99K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (379 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.6% win rate (1,428 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.9% win rate (3,099 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (5,850 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (11,176 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (18,209 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.9% win rate (27,938 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.1% win rate (24,331 games)
  • 2500+: 58.0% win rate (6,514 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Rapid (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.1% win rate (86 games)
  • Bullet: 56.0% win rate (43,319 games)
  • Blitz: 54.1% win rate (47,892 games)
  • Rapid: 52.6% win rate (7,355 games)
  • Classical: 52.8% win rate (272 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (205 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (470 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (763 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (193 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (919 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,722 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (448 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,951 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (2,952 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (893 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (3,838 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (6,087 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (6,537 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (10,046 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (1,507 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (85 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (9,886 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (16,056 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (1,930 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (13,742 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (9,423 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (1,148 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.1% expected score (5,846 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (638 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 99K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line perform best?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (6.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (53.1%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 379 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.5%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.0%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.4%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.5%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.6%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line has a 52.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-57.8%) win rate for white (272 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.9%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.