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French Defense: Burn Variation

291K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 53.9%Based on 291K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 53.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%5.9%43.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: Burn Variation
n=291K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 53.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.6% and 53.9%), based on 291K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.8% win rate (3,550 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (7,475 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (15,497 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (25,813 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (38,682 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (55,171 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (66,174 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (58,321 games)
  • 2500+: 50.3% win rate (20,782 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.7% win rate (166 games)
  • Bullet: 52.9% win rate (92,850 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (158,442 games)
  • Rapid: 49.3% win rate (38,052 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (1,955 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (714 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (1,818 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,011 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,531 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (4,096 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (1,810 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (3,021 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (8,735 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (3,628 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (102 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (5,194 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (14,798 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (5,424 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (349 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (9,141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (22,164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (6,829 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (515 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (12,804 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (33,176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (8,573 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (575 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (18,246 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (40,522 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (7,117 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (273 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (26,612 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (28,314 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (3,317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (15,587 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (4,819 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (343 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (33 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Burn Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 291K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Burn Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Burn Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (7.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Burn Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.7%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Burn Variation?

The French Defense: Burn Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 13.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 39.4%-52.0%) win rate for white (166 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.2%) win rate for white (93K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate for white (158K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.8%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the French Defense: Burn Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Burn Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-49.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

Is the French Defense: Burn Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Burn Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.