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French Defense: Alapin Gambit

176K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.9%Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 54.1%Based on 176K games
0%53.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
52.3%3.2%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Be3
French Defense: Alapin Gambit
Analyzen=176K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 53.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.7% and 54.1%), based on 176K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (1,955 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.1% win rate (3,898 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.5% win rate (10,072 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.1% win rate (21,592 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.8% win rate (37,061 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.3% win rate (50,688 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.5% win rate (36,549 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.9% win rate (13,254 games)
  • 2500+: 51.4% win rate (1,430 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Rapid (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.9% win rate (1,782 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (62,208 games)
  • Blitz: 51.8% win rate (90,226 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (21,679 games)
  • Classical: 52.6% win rate (604 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (684 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (903 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (349 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,548 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,837 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (475 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (4,600 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (4,341 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (7,350 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (11,155 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (2,922 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (1,546 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (12,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (18,114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (5,280 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (121 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (14,499 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (28,832 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (7,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (228 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (12,468 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (19,925 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (4,027 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (7,862 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (4,892 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (492 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,197 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.0% expected score (227 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Alapin Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 176K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Alapin Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Alapin Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (37K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.9%) outperforms Classical (52.6%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit?

The French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.9%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.5%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.1%) win rate for white (90K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.0%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Alapin Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-55.9%) win rate for white (604 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the French Defense: Alapin Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Alapin Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.