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French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit

55K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 53.1%Based on 55K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%3.5%45.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bd3
French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit
Analyzen=55K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 53.1%), based on 55K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.0% win rate (229 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.0% win rate (672 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.5% win rate (1,789 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (4,535 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (9,457 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (13,542 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (12,874 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.4% win rate (10,558 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (1,304 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.6% win rate (478 games)
  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (23,757 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (26,660 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (3,937 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (128 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (264 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (313 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (862 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (729 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (183 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,855 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,062 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (419 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (3,496 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (5,139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (684 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.2% expected score (97 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (4,861 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (7,336 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (4,999 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (6,833 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (944 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (6,247 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (3,923 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (368 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (1,074 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (224 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 55K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.2%) outperforms Classical (46.7%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 35.7%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 229 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 672 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-54.3%) win rate for white (478 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.8%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.6%-53.9%) win rate for white (128 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Ruisdonk Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.