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French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack

123K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.0%Based on 123K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%3.4%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qg4
French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack
Analyzen=123K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 55.0%), based on 123K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.9% win rate (221 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.5% win rate (653 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.6% win rate (2,181 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (7,285 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (16,557 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.7% win rate (31,936 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (38,992 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.2% win rate (21,487 games)
  • 2500+: 51.5% win rate (3,604 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.9% win rate (14 games)
  • Bullet: 54.4% win rate (41,671 games)
  • Blitz: 52.5% win rate (72,402 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (8,669 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (160 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.2% expected score (69 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (340 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (848 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (274 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (3,001 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (3,555 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (694 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (5,564 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (9,570 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (8,583 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (20,441 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (2,858 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (10,327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (25,702 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (2,933 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (10,317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (10,791 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (377 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,761 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (835 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 123K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack perform best?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (32K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.4%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 3.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 38.9% (90% CI: 33.6%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 221 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 653 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.8%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.8%) win rate for white (72K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.5%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 44.0%-56.9%) win rate for white (160 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack a good opening?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Nimzowitsch Attack is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.