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Analyzer

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation

1.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation is balanced for Black at 50.8% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.8%Based on 1.8K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.8%60%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 52.8%
Min adv-2.3%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=1.8K
Outcome Distribution
7...d5
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation
Analyzen=1.8K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 50.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 52.8%), based on 1.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (148 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (293 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (347 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.0% win rate (321 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (248 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.5% win rate (179 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.0% win rate (183 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (86 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (9 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (433 games)
  • Blitz: 47.6% win rate (929 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (417 games)
  • Classical: 40.8% win rate (34 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (136 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (51 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (125 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation Accepted
51.9%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation
50.7%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Classical Variation
49.0%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation
52.8%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (183 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.1%) outperforms Rapid (44.6%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 41.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 293 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 37.2%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 321 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 248 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 36.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 183 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-50.8%) win rate for white (433 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-50.8%) win rate for white (929 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 40.6%-48.6%) win rate for white (417 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Svenonius Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.