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Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense

3.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 52.1%Based on 3.0K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
44.9%11.4%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qe7
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense
Analyzen=3.0K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate11.4%

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 50.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 52.1%), based on 3.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.0% win rate (53 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.9% win rate (31 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.4% win rate (35 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.8% win rate (40 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (41 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.5% win rate (108 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (351 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.7% win rate (1,541 games)
  • 2500+: 48.9% win rate (771 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Blitz (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (732 games)
  • Blitz: 42.8% win rate (2,063 games)
  • Rapid: 49.6% win rate (167 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (9 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (233 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (226 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,271 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (356 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (405 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.8% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Glek System
47.9%
Four Knights Game: Gunsberg Variation
49.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit
52.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit, Plasma Variation
54.1%
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 48.9% win rate for white (771 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms Blitz (42.8%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a sharpness score of 88.6 (moderately decisive), meaning 88.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 42.5% (90% CI: 34.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 108 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 43.3% (90% CI: 38.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 351 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 10.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 42.7% (90% CI: 40.6%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 12.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 771 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (732 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 42.8% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.6%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-55.9%) win rate for white (167 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense is statistically balanced with a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.