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Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation

7.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.4%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 56.3%Based on 7.9K games
0%55.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%4.7%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.f3
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation
Analyzen=7.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 56.3%), based on 7.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.2% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 17.6% win rate (7 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (85 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.1% win rate (266 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.2% win rate (1,160 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (3,173 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (2,746 games)
  • 2500+: 49.5% win rate (470 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (57%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 53.6% win rate (1,746 games)
  • Blitz: 52.6% win rate (5,658 games)
  • Rapid: 56.8% win rate (517 games)
  • Classical: 41.5% win rate (19 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (217 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (91 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,454 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (699 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (1,890 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (257 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 56.2% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (56.8%) outperforms Blitz (52.6%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 266 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 470 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-55.6%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.7%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 53.2%-60.4%) win rate for white (517 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.