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Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation

4.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.1%Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 56.3%Based on 4.6K games
0%55.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%4.9%42.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.h4
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=4.6K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 55.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 56.3%), based on 4.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.6% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 53%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1400-1599: 65.2% win rate (33 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (152 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.7% win rate (677 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (1,652 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.9% win rate (1,756 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (296 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (62%), worst in Bullet (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.0% win rate (969 games)
  • Blitz: 52.8% win rate (3,223 games)
  • Rapid: 52.3% win rate (376 games)
  • Classical: 61.9% win rate (9 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (98 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (134 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (493 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (236 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,262 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (147 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (394 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (1,215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (146 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (128 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.7% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.8%) outperforms Rapid (52.3%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 152 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 677 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 296 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-54.6%) win rate for white (969 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.2%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-56.5%) win rate for white (376 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.